Huge-Brain
0x5011224f4848cb2cf2d87cf2b823551dfd0e220e
Wallet digest
Activity score
96/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
82
Open notional
$65.4K
Total PnL
$2.2K
Realised
$-945.97
Win rate
59%
34 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 82- NO
US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?
13555 shares @ 81.3¢·now 76.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$10.4K
$-657.66
- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
11188 shares @ 86.5¢·now 78.5¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$8.8K
$-891.22
- NO
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?
8232 shares @ 92.7¢·now 99.4¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$8.2K
$553.11
- NO
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?
5554 shares @ 86.0¢·now 97.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$5.4K
$640.00
- NO
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?
4130 shares @ 85.4¢·now 97.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$4.0K
$475.20
- NO
Will Epic Games' valuation hit (HIGH) $13.5B by July 31?
4021 shares @ 47.8¢·now 95.2¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$3.8K
$1.9K
- NO
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?
3819 shares @ 84.1¢·now 89.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$3.4K
$205.13
- NO
Will Steve Witkoff sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
2314 shares @ 93.1¢·now 99.1¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$2.3K
$137.41
- NO
Will Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
1956 shares @ 95.9¢·now 99.4¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$1.9K
$68.07
- NO
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
2111 shares @ 90.4¢·now 80.2¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$1.7K
$-216.04
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill U.S. viewership of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final be at least 58 million?$25.00Jul 26, 00:46 UTC
- REWARD$64.26Jul 26, 00:00 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 22?$1.6KJul 25, 22:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?$6.60Jul 25, 21:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?$1.00Jul 25, 21:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?$2.91Jul 25, 21:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?$10.00Jul 25, 20:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?$33.15Jul 25, 19:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?$0.89Jul 25, 19:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?$24.77Jul 25, 18:06 UTC
- TRADESELLIran military action against a Gulf State on July 26?$60.89Jul 25, 17:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?$740.00Jul 25, 17:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?$120.59Jul 25, 17:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?$9.90Jul 25, 17:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?$2.00Jul 25, 16:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?$2.00Jul 25, 16:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?$619.51Jul 25, 16:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?$760.00Jul 25, 16:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?$11.11Jul 25, 16:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?$1.6KJul 25, 15:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
50/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
59% win rate over 34 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
35 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 45/100.
34 closed markets, 59% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $397.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 25, 06:02 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 26, 00:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 34 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.