Third-Thirst
0x5015a5ad0b3bafe8cf112540e3c9b5616dc9a918
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$32.52
Total PnL
$-3.48
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
21 shares @ 47.0¢·now 46.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$9.89
$-0.11
- YES
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?
21 shares @ 23.6¢·now 31.6¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$6.68
$1.68
- YES
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
21 shares @ 24.0¢·now 23.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$4.90
$-0.10
- YES
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
57 shares @ 8.7¢·now 7.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.10
$-0.90
- NO
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
7 shares @ 15.0¢·now 28.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.90
$0.90
- KARMINE CORP
LoL: Karmine Corp vs G2 Esports (BO5) - LEC Playoffs
5 shares @ 40.0¢·now 36.5¢·exp May 23, 2026$1.82
$-0.17
- MARU
StarCraft II: SHIN vs Maru (BO5) - Global StarCraft II League Playoffs
1 shares @ 69.0¢·now 78.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$1.13
$0.13
- NO
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?
2 shares @ 44.2¢·now 47.8¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$1.08
$0.08
- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
1 shares @ 78.0¢·now 78.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- TOP ESPORTS
LoL: Top Esports vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
7 shares @ 71.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00May 14, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 13, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?$1.02May 12, 19:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?$5.15May 12, 14:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by December 31, 2026?$1.03May 12, 07:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Top Esports vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend$5.04May 11, 17:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?$10.21May 11, 17:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?$1.01May 11, 17:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarCraft II: SHIN vs Maru (BO5) - Global StarCraft II League Playoffs$1.01May 11, 17:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Karmine Corp vs G2 Esports (BO5) - LEC Playoffs$2.04May 11, 17:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?$5.15May 11, 17:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$5.23May 11, 17:08 UTC
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 10
- Avg trade size
- $3.69
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 11, 17:08 UTC
- Last active
- May 14, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".