Untrue-Puppy
0x502303c67184ab8c80e50374fb84212c00220961
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$59.30
Total PnL
$-16.70
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- NO
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90%?
12 shares @ 85.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$11.64
$1.64
- NO
Will Claude go down 9-10 times in March?
11 shares @ 92.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$10.87
$0.87
- YES
Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026?
7 shares @ 73.0¢·now 81.7¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$5.60
$0.60
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
5 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$5.26
$0.26
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
5 shares @ 95.7¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.21
$0.21
- NO
Will Hyperliquid reach $52 in March?
5 shares @ 97.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$5.15
$0.15
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
5 shares @ 97.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$5.13
$0.13
- NO
100kt meteor strike in 2026?
5 shares @ 94.8¢·now 92.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.90
$-0.10
- YES
Another S&P 500 Company buys Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
7 shares @ 75.2¢·now 29.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.93
$-3.07
- SOMETHING
Nothing Ever Happens: Satoshi Nakamoto
41 shares @ 7.3¢·now 4.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.64
$-1.36
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?$16.67Mar 20, 17:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?$8.00Mar 20, 10:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?$5.00Mar 20, 10:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?$3.00Mar 20, 10:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?$3.00Mar 20, 10:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "One Piece: Season 2" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?$1.00Mar 19, 07:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: Satoshi Nakamoto$3.00Mar 19, 07:29 UTC
- TRADESELLNetanyahu out by March 31?$5.27Mar 19, 07:26 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET$3.89Mar 18, 05:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET$3.00Mar 18, 05:59 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET$2.20Mar 18, 05:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET$5.00Mar 18, 05:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-03-14?$0.00Mar 17, 18:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-14?$0.00Mar 17, 18:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $75,000 by December 31, 2026?$1.15Mar 17, 18:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Claude go down 0 times in March?$15.31Mar 17, 18:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-14?$1.00Mar 14, 18:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Girona FC win on 2026-03-14?$2.85Mar 14, 17:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?$5.00Mar 14, 17:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?$1.00Mar 14, 10:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $3.44
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 4, 16:55 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 20, 17:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.