Elliptical-Turnstile
0x504ddd86009399b645bc0e2ce43c9894d49798dc
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$283.53
Total PnL
$-8.8K
Realised
$-279.88
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
298 shares @ 62.5¢·now 60.5¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$180.15
$-5.84
- YES
Iran leadership change by December 31?
405 shares @ 37.0¢·now 25.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$103.38
$-46.62
- YES
Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?
49871 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-169.86
- YES
Will Iran strike Oman again in March?
40000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- NO
Maduro out by January 31, 2026?
10017 shares @ 79.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-8.0K
- YES
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
6000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 9, 2026?
852 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?
367 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-66.00
- YES
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 10, 2026?
268 shares @ 7.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump say "Biden" 4+ times during Syria President events on November 10?
197 shares @ 61.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 10, 2025$0.00
$-120.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$75.00Apr 21, 20:30 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?$78.57Apr 21, 20:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?$580.00Apr 21, 17:10 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?$581.30Apr 21, 17:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?$5.00Apr 21, 15:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?$220.00Apr 21, 14:58 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?$229.74Apr 21, 14:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?$200.00Apr 19, 08:09 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026?$225.56Apr 16, 04:42 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 17, 2026?$3.13Apr 16, 03:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?$100.00Apr 15, 13:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026?$100.00Apr 15, 06:17 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?$204.02Apr 15, 06:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$11.00Apr 15, 06:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$11.05Apr 15, 06:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026?$5.00Apr 15, 06:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026?$60.00Apr 15, 06:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?$200.00Apr 15, 05:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$86.83Apr 15, 03:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?$100.00Apr 15, 02:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $204.75
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 9, 03:11 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 21, 20:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".