Ornate-Monger
0x50701d11c85d83f5f0e9c4d9d3b37935b9fa911f
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$12.81
Total PnL
$-193.33
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?
102 shares @ 5.9¢·now 6.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$6.56
$0.56
- YES
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
17 shares @ 58.0¢·now 18.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.19
$-6.81
- YES
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
12 shares @ 26.0¢·now 26.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$3.06
$0.06
- NO
Earthquake 7.0 or above by July 31?
145 shares @ 62.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-90.00
- NO
Bayrou out as French PM by September 30?
100 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-18.00
- YES
Will Trump say 'NATO' during the 2025 State of the Union?
40 shares @ 72.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2025$0.00
$-28.80
- YES
Will Ali Khamenei be the next leader out before 2027?
40 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- NO
Will Trump say 'Putin' during the 2025 State of the Union?
31 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2025$0.00
$-7.83
- YES
Will Trump say 'ceasefire' during the 2025 State of the Union?
30 shares @ 78.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2025$0.00
$-23.40
- NO
Will Trump reduce or pause tariffs on Vietnam before June?
10 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMIran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?$28.00Apr 25, 02:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Lê Minh Hưng be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?$105.27Apr 25, 02:47 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran ceasefire by June 30?$110.00Apr 25, 02:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?$11.20Mar 29, 19:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by June 30?$68.20Mar 28, 06:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lê Minh Hưng be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?$99.00Jan 30, 20:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?$6.00Jan 30, 20:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?$3.00Jan 30, 20:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ali Khamenei be the next leader out before 2027?$6.00Jan 30, 20:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$10.00Jan 30, 20:05 UTC
- TRADESELLU.S. Government Funding Lapse on January 31?$203.83Jan 30, 19:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. Government Funding Lapse on January 31?$172.28Jan 25, 20:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?$50.00Jan 23, 12:52 UTC
- REDEEMMacron out in 2025?$110.00Jan 23, 12:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYMacron out in 2025?$99.00Sep 9, 19:31 UTC
- TRADESELLXi Jinping out in 2025?$105.29Sep 9, 19:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBayrou out as French PM by September 30?$18.00Aug 26, 18:12 UTC
- TRADESELLUS recession in 2025?$22.81Aug 26, 18:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYXi Jinping out in 2025?$63.24Aug 20, 09:00 UTC
- TRADESELLThailand x Cambodia ceasefire by Sunday, July 27?$49.57Jul 27, 11:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $38.24
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 4, 17:23 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 25, 02:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".