Wee-Patio
0x50733d0627e4763d7d7e81a69abc345edf6416a7
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
71
Open notional
$2.5K
Total PnL
$-1.1K
Realised
$-13.49
Win rate
41%
29 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 71- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
1261 shares @ 79.5¢·now 75.2¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$948.84
$-54.15
- YES
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 4.50% and 4.99%?
450 shares @ 25.4¢·now 45.9¢·exp Jan 12, 2027$206.42
$91.83
- YES
Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 50+ bps at the July meeting?
221 shares @ 63.5¢·now 93.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$205.68
$65.19
- YES
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the August meeting?
206 shares @ 57.5¢·now 88.5¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$182.10
$63.70
- YES
Will the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?
204 shares @ 73.6¢·now 76.0¢·exp Sep 18, 2026$154.85
$4.85
- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
250 shares @ 66.0¢·now 60.5¢·exp Oct 28, 2026$151.25
$-13.75
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?
154 shares @ 65.1¢·now 85.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$130.64
$30.64
- YES
Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the September interest rate announcement?
117 shares @ 85.3¢·now 96.9¢·exp Sep 2, 2026$113.54
$13.54
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
321 shares @ 23.4¢·now 24.9¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$79.98
$4.98
- NO
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
175 shares @ 63.1¢·now 44.5¢·exp Sep 16, 2026$77.88
$-32.62
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 50+ bps at the July meeting?$91.63Jul 29, 12:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.00% and 5.49%?$49.24Jul 29, 12:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 4.50% and 4.99%?$67.44Jul 29, 12:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?$32.77Jul 29, 12:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 50+ bps at the July meeting?$109.36Jul 29, 10:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the August meeting?$131.21Jul 29, 02:04 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$1.03Jul 29, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?$101.40Jul 28, 22:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in July?$10.35Jul 28, 20:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$202.34Jul 28, 20:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?$37.54Jul 28, 20:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the August meeting?$442.55Jul 28, 20:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 50+ bps at the July meeting?$135.22Jul 28, 20:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$810.90Jul 28, 16:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$77.87Jul 28, 13:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$451.95Jul 28, 13:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?$26.95Jul 28, 13:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?$26.95Jul 28, 13:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?$71.37Jul 28, 13:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$89.14Jul 28, 13:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
52/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
41% win rate over 29 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 45/100.
29 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $89.36
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 23, 11:17 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 12:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 29 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.