Firsthand-Yourself
0x507c6d489e56dcff9fe0687f45c4211e73084166
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
53
Open notional
$465.22
Total PnL
$-1.9K
Realised
$-74.93
Win rate
45%
38 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 53- NO
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by June 30, 2026?
73 shares @ 85.0¢·now 99.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$72.41
$10.36
- YES
Will West Ham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?
54 shares @ 45.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$54.00
$29.70
- NO
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
112 shares @ 30.0¢·now 45.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$50.95
$17.36
- NO
Fed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?
48 shares @ 77.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$47.97
$10.61
- NO
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
62 shares @ 59.0¢·now 69.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$43.32
$6.73
- NO
Will Bill Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?
37 shares @ 87.0¢·now 98.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$36.42
$4.31
- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
67 shares @ 47.0¢·now 45.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$30.48
$-1.00
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?
33 shares @ 74.0¢·now 79.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$26.24
$1.81
- NO
Base FDV above $2B one day after launch?
77 shares @ 33.0¢·now 23.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$17.65
$-7.68
- YES
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
140 shares @ 24.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$17.50
$-16.10
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jun 5, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 4, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 3, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 2, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 1, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 31, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 30, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 29, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 28, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 27, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 26, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 25, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 24, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 23, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 22, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 21, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 20, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 19, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 18, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 17, 00:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 17, 00:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 5, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 38 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".