Realistic-Poison
0x508212fa8e10afce25025422161c15c68b8b049d
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
12
Open notional
$4.8K
Total PnL
$-2.3K
Realised
$-102.33
Win rate
40%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
10700 shares @ 43.9¢·now 34.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$3.7K
$-1.0K
- YES
Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
50000 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$425.00
$33.00
- YES
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?
438 shares @ 45.6¢·now 67.5¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$295.72
$95.84
- YES
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?
867 shares @ 28.8¢·now 30.5¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$264.40
$15.01
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $90 on the final trading day of June 2026?
790 shares @ 59.8¢·now 9.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$71.10
$-400.99
- YES
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
300 shares @ 5.5¢·now 9.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$27.15
$10.65
- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
5 shares @ 49.0¢·now 43.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$2.31
$-0.29
- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
1 shares @ 83.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$0.82
$-0.01
- YES
Will 60-79 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 18-May 24?
1100 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$0.00
$-66.61
- UP
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 1?
1029 shares @ 48.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-499.35
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.04Jun 15, 00:13 UTC
- REWARD$22.07Jun 15, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?$25.50Jun 14, 21:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?$74.67Jun 14, 20:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?$1.17Jun 14, 20:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?$117.63Jun 14, 18:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?$6.00Jun 14, 18:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?$6.00Jun 14, 18:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$876.47Jun 14, 07:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$2.0KJun 14, 07:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$21.94Jun 14, 07:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$17.20Jun 14, 07:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$5.63Jun 14, 07:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$21.50Jun 14, 06:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$43.00Jun 14, 06:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$141.00Jun 14, 06:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$2.15Jun 14, 05:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$2.15Jun 14, 05:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$2.15Jun 14, 05:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$2.15Jun 14, 05:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $209.08
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 12, 10:07 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 15, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.