Normal-Lead
0x508d03380da0b65ba23676a346442b460b899c58
Wallet digest
Activity score
76/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
57
Open notional
$166.93
Total PnL
$-985.88
Realised
$-13.32
Win rate
60%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 57- NO
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?
81 shares @ 77.0¢·now 97.4¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$78.85
$16.48
- YES
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?
120 shares @ 83.0¢·now 34.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$40.92
$-58.68
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
400 shares @ 8.6¢·now 7.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$31.40
$-3.00
- NO
Will Fernando Dias da Costa win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?
17 shares @ 69.9¢·now 79.2¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$13.12
$1.54
- YES
Will Alvin Kamara be traded?
20 shares @ 64.0¢·now 13.2¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$2.63
$-10.17
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 17°C on April 7?
10051 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-11.42
- NO
Will Atlético Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 16, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- PATRIOTS
Seahawks vs. Patriots
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $142 Week of April 13 2026?
500 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 16 to March 18, 2026?
500 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
Recent activity
- MAKER_REBATE$1.29Jun 14, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 14, 00:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?$0.00Jun 13, 23:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?$62.37Jun 13, 16:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?$15.98Jun 13, 00:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?$5.47Jun 13, 00:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?$1.85Jun 13, 00:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?$1.44Jun 13, 00:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?$0.71Jun 13, 00:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?$1.85Jun 13, 00:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?$1.85Jun 13, 00:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?$2.20Jun 13, 00:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?$1.85Jun 13, 00:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?$1.37Jun 13, 00:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?$7.00Jun 13, 00:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?$35.26Jun 13, 00:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?$1.60Jun 13, 00:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?$1.10Jun 13, 00:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?$139.96Jun 13, 00:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?$0.49Jun 13, 00:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $30.64
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 7, 12:07 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.