Sugary-Espalier
0x5097c20a2f223faab8ee953b25854370177442ca
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$103.16
Total PnL
$0.26
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Derek Grasty advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?
42 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$41.98
$0.08
- NO
Will Kim Dong-yeon win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?
27 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$27.07
$0.07
- YES
Will the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) win the 2026 South Korean local elections?
19 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$19.06
$0.06
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 3?
15 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$15.04
$0.05
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 3?$15.00Jun 2, 20:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kim Dong-yeon win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?$27.00Jun 2, 02:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on June 1?$11.46Jun 2, 02:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Derek Grasty advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?$41.90Jun 1, 14:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?$20.06Jun 1, 14:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) win the 2026 South Korean local elections?$19.00Jun 1, 07:42 UTC
- REDEEMMojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?$13.04Jun 1, 07:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$23.80Jun 1, 07:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?$24.05Jun 1, 07:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?$29.18Jun 1, 07:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on June 1?$11.39May 31, 15:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?$20.00May 30, 18:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYMojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?$13.00May 30, 11:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,200 in May?$21.07May 30, 11:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?$28.06May 30, 11:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$23.67May 29, 13:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?$14.07May 29, 13:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,200 in May?$21.00May 29, 06:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 28?$14.06May 29, 06:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?$14.00May 28, 10:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $23.13
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 22, 10:21 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 2, 20:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.