Will Derek Grasty advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?
Probability
2¢
1h
-0.1pp
24h
+0.0pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$25.6K
Probability (last 7 days)
-0.8pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 900.1h
- 11:53SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 900h with open resolution ambiguity.
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
Related Markets
14- 40¢-1.9pp
Will Xavier Becerra advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?
Politics · Vol $82.23
- 3¢+0.1pp
Will Ian Calderon advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?
Politics · Vol $0.00
- 1¢0.0pp
Will Thunder Parley advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?
Politics · Vol $0.00
- 2¢0.0pp
Will Raji Rab advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?
Politics · Vol $10.00
- 0¢-0.1pp
Will Eric Swalwell advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?
Politics · Vol $0.00
- 2¢0.0pp
Will Antonio Villaraigosa advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?
Politics · Vol $0.00
- 3¢+0.2pp
Will Dylan Colbert advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?
Politics · Vol $7.40
- 17¢0.0pp
Will Chad Bianco advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?
Politics · Vol $193.71
- 0¢-0.1pp
Will the Indian National Congress (INC) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?
Politics · Vol $3.9M
- 3¢-0.4pp
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Politics · Vol $618.2K
- 0¢-0.1pp
Trump out as President by April 30?
Politics · Vol $493.6K
- 5¢-0.1pp
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Politics · Vol $442.0K
- 0¢0.0pp
Will Gustavo Bolívar win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Politics · Vol $379.6K
- 0¢+0.2pp
Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Politics · Vol $374.4K
Market Description
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Jun 2, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Binary
- No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).