Cavernous-Constitution
0x50a1313241e9fbe70972ebf9ecec349fabab0e92
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$3.07
Total PnL
$-45.41
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
2 shares @ 98.1¢·now 99.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.02
$0.02
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
1 shares @ 89.0¢·now 93.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.05
$0.05
- YES
Will the price of Solana be above $140 on January 27?
9096 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-36.38
- YES
Will the price of Solana be between $100 and $110 on February 7?
1016 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 7, 2026$0.00
$-5.08
- YES
Will the price of Solana be between $140 and $150 on January 20?
1010 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-2.02
- YES
Will the price of Solana be less than $100 on January 25?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 28?$5.00May 31, 10:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 28?$5.00May 28, 01:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 26?$5.00May 28, 01:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 26?$4.99May 26, 02:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 25?$5.00May 26, 02:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 25?$4.99May 25, 02:48 UTC
- REWARD$0.57May 21, 00:20 UTC
- REWARD$1.29May 20, 00:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 16?$5.00May 18, 01:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 16?$5.00May 16, 00:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 15?$5.00May 16, 00:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 15?$5.00May 15, 08:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 13?$5.00May 15, 08:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 13?$5.00May 13, 02:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 12?$5.00May 13, 02:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 12?$5.00May 12, 04:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 11?$5.00May 12, 04:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 11?$5.00May 11, 04:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 9?$5.00May 10, 09:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 9?$5.00May 9, 00:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $5.98
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 9, 05:56 UTC
- Last active
- May 31, 10:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".