Failing-Earmuffs-Thrush
0x50b8e964549b75315b55e975f8b235f4dfb19b9d
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$212.33
Total PnL
$-43.66
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
167 shares @ 64.0¢·now 50.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$83.59
$-23.41
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
1061 shares @ 6.6¢·now 6.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$71.59
$1.59
- YES
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
435 shares @ 4.6¢·now 4.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$19.35
$-0.65
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
112 shares @ 17.0¢·now 14.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$16.21
$-2.79
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
118 shares @ 17.0¢·now 13.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$15.59
$-4.41
- YES
Will Emmanuel Macron be the next leader out before 2027?
2177 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.44
$-9.56
- YES
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out before 2027?
161 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.56
$-4.44
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jun 17, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 16, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 15, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 14, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 13, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$20.50Jun 12, 07:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$20.57Jun 12, 07:52 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 12, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 11, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 10, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 9, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 8, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 7, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 6, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 5, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 4, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 3, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 2, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 1, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 31, 00:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 8
- Avg trade size
- $32.33
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 19, 09:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 17, 00:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.