Possible-Nestmate
0x50bde4d8225913886715dd07f5944d89b416962a
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$423.44
Total PnL
$-135.95
Realised
$61.79
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?
110 shares @ 88.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$109.94
$13.03
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
600 shares @ 16.9¢·now 17.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$102.30
$0.90
- YES
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
3664 shares @ 1.6¢·now 1.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$64.12
$5.50
- NO
Will Yann Bisseck score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
38 shares @ 96.0¢·now 89.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$33.50
$-2.63
- YES
Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30?
132 shares @ 41.1¢·now 16.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$22.12
$-32.40
- NO
Will Robert Lewandowski score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
18 shares @ 98.4¢·now 98.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$18.06
$0.09
- NO
Will Jeremie Frimpong score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
10 shares @ 98.0¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$9.97
$0.17
- NO
Will Cole Palmer score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
10 shares @ 98.6¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$9.97
$0.11
- NO
Will Fermín López score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
10 shares @ 99.0¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$9.96
$0.06
- NO
Will Phil Foden score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
10 shares @ 98.8¢·now 95.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$9.58
$-0.29
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Robert Lewandowski score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$8.07Jun 1, 00:43 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 1, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?$5.43May 31, 14:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?$25.19May 31, 14:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill João Pedro score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$9.71May 31, 12:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Yann Bisseck score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$36.17May 31, 12:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Emiliano Buendía score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$9.81May 31, 12:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kaoru Mitoma score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$9.90May 31, 12:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jeremie Frimpong score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$9.81May 31, 12:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fermín López score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$9.90May 31, 12:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Phil Foden score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$9.87May 31, 12:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Robert Lewandowski score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$9.90May 31, 12:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cole Palmer score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$9.86May 31, 12:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?$66.29May 31, 11:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?$150.00May 31, 09:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 31, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 30, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?$103.50May 29, 23:24 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 29, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$62.43May 28, 00:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 16
- Avg trade size
- $26.55
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 3, 00:13 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 1, 00:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".