Short-Order
0x50c3a73f6fd9e5d1a5dbb567da29a4be1136f4d1
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$323.28
Total PnL
$-169.28
Realised
$-16.75
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
200 shares @ 82.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$169.00
$5.00
- NO
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
106 shares @ 77.4¢·now 84.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$89.62
$7.49
- NO
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?
50 shares @ 88.0¢·now 71.5¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$35.75
$-8.25
- NO
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
26 shares @ 78.0¢·now 99.1¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$25.41
$5.41
- YES
Israel closes its airspace by June 14?
100 shares @ 9.0¢·now 3.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$3.05
$-5.95
- YES
Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?
50 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.45
$-17.05
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?
1569 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-19.59
- NO
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?
118 shares @ 34.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$0.00
$-40.25
- NO
Will Solana reach $90 in April?
100 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- NO
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 23, 2026?
40 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-16.80
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?$10.30Jun 9, 15:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?$13.20Jun 9, 15:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?$25.00Jun 9, 14:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?$15.00Jun 9, 14:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?$15.46Jun 9, 13:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?$2.54Jun 9, 13:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?$22.50Jun 9, 13:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by June 14?$9.00Jun 9, 11:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?$44.00Jun 8, 23:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$164.00Jun 8, 23:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$22.47Jun 8, 23:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$20.00May 30, 14:38 UTC
- REDEEMUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?$22.22May 28, 18:32 UTC
- TRADESELLInternet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?$7.24May 26, 11:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?$20.00May 26, 11:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$20.18May 26, 11:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYInternet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?$10.00May 25, 18:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?$62.09May 20, 07:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?$1.41May 19, 21:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?$0.93May 19, 21:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $25.53
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 13, 10:31 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 9, 15:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.