Massive-Neon
0x50c97b7214a030e87ce21848f67308286c69dec1
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
23
Open notional
$49.03
Total PnL
$-506.43
Realised
$3.07
Win rate
50%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- NO
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
15 shares @ 66.0¢·now 70.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$10.68
$0.68
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
141 shares @ 7.3¢·now 7.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$9.77
$-0.53
- NO
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
18 shares @ 57.0¢·now 54.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.56
$-0.44
- YES
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
11 shares @ 47.0¢·now 45.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.84
$-0.16
- NO
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?
5 shares @ 60.3¢·now 76.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.78
$0.78
- YES
Will Pauline Hanson be Prime Minister of Australia after the next election?
17 shares @ 20.9¢·now 20.0¢·exp Sep 23, 2028$3.35
$-0.15
- NO
Will Anthony Albanese be Prime Minister of Australia after the next election?
5 shares @ 59.0¢·now 59.0¢·exp Sep 23, 2028$2.95
$0.00
- YES
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?
47 shares @ 21.4¢·now 5.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.57
$-7.43
- NO
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027?
2 shares @ 47.0¢·now 72.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.53
$0.53
- YES
Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March?
2333 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMUFC 329: King Green vs. Terrance McKinney (Lightweight, Main Card)$0.00Jul 13, 10:51 UTC
- REDEEMUFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)$0.00Jul 13, 10:51 UTC
- REDEEMUFC 329: Paddy Pimblett vs. Benoît Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)$0.00Jul 12, 03:48 UTC
- REDEEMUFC 329: Paddy Pimblett vs. Benoît Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)$2.17Jul 12, 03:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 329: Paddy Pimblett vs. Benoît Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)$1.03Jul 12, 02:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)$1.03Jul 12, 02:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 329: King Green vs. Terrance McKinney (Lightweight, Main Card)$1.02Jul 12, 01:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 329: King Green vs. Terrance McKinney (Lightweight, Main Card)$1.00Jul 12, 01:30 UTC
- TRADESELLUFC 329: King Green vs. Terrance McKinney (Lightweight, Main Card)$0.15Jul 12, 01:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 329: King Green vs. Terrance McKinney (Lightweight, Main Card)$1.02Jul 12, 01:25 UTC
- REDEEMUFC 329: Robert Whittaker vs. Nikita Krylov (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)$1.39Jul 12, 01:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 329: Robert Whittaker vs. Nikita Krylov (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)$1.01Jul 12, 00:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 329: Gable Steveson vs. Elisha Ellison (Heavyweight, Prelims)$1.04Jul 12, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pauline Hanson be Prime Minister of Australia after the next election?$2.07Jul 11, 00:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$7.30Jul 11, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYTyler Robinson convicted of homicide?$5.00Jul 10, 23:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYTyler Robinson convicted of homicide?$10.00Jul 10, 04:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$3.11Jul 10, 02:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?$68.49Jul 1, 07:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?$110.93Jul 1, 07:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
25/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
50% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
41 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 54/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $9.18
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 25, 23:40 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 13, 10:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.