Animated-Bachelor
0x50e244f5cabcba85684f221d027c7291faf646ce
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
44
Open notional
$20.77
Total PnL
$-971.23
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 44- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
10 shares @ 96.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$10.42
$0.42
- NO
Will Australia win on 2026-06-19?
1 shares @ 82.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$1.22
$0.22
- NO
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20?
1 shares @ 84.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$1.19
$0.19
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
1 shares @ 84.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.19
$0.19
- NO
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-19?
1 shares @ 85.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$1.18
$0.18
- NO
Will Austria win on 2026-06-22?
1 shares @ 85.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$1.18
$0.18
- YES
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19?
1 shares @ 89.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$1.12
$0.12
- YES
Will Spain win on 2026-06-21?
1 shares @ 89.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$1.12
$0.12
- YES
Will France win on 2026-06-22?
1 shares @ 90.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$1.11
$0.11
- NO
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20?
1 shares @ 96.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$1.04
$0.04
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-06-22?$1.00Jun 19, 15:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Austria win on 2026-06-22?$1.00Jun 19, 15:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win on 2026-06-21?$1.00Jun 19, 15:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Curaçao win on 2026-06-20?$1.00Jun 19, 15:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20?$1.00Jun 19, 15:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Türkiye vs. Paraguay end in a draw?$1.02Jun 19, 15:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win on 2026-06-19?$1.00Jun 19, 15:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Scotland win on 2026-06-19?$1.00Jun 19, 15:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Australia win on 2026-06-19?$1.01Jun 19, 15:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill South Africa win on 2026-06-11?$1.12Jun 19, 15:48 UTC
- REDEEMMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$1.52Jun 19, 15:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?$1.75Jun 19, 15:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill South Africa win on 2026-06-11?$1.00Jun 2, 17:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYKnicks vs. Spurs$1.01Jun 2, 17:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$10.02Jun 2, 17:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$1.01Jun 2, 17:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03Jun 2, 17:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$5.12Jun 2, 17:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$5.17Jun 2, 17:51 UTC
- REDEEMIran closes its airspace by May 21?$1.20May 27, 15:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
38 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 73/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $329.99
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 23, 23:02 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 19, 15:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.