Harsh-Macro
0x511f9c771449162349795d17becf8b37031acbe1
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$1.0K
Total PnL
$-9.5K
Realised
$-614.18
Win rate
11%
19 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?
563 shares @ 1.5¢·now 52.5¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$295.63
$287.23
- YES
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%?
1057 shares @ 10.0¢·now 21.9¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$230.89
$125.22
- YES
Will Caroline Elliott win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?
215 shares @ 2.8¢·now 76.5¢·exp May 30, 2026$164.43
$158.46
- YES
Will Carlos Alcaraz be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?
609 shares @ 1.5¢·now 16.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$97.41
$88.33
- YES
Will Novak Djokovic be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?
622 shares @ 1.5¢·now 7.1¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$44.09
$34.81
- YES
Will Alexander Zverev be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?
622 shares @ 1.5¢·now 4.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$25.18
$15.90
- YES
Will Taylor Fritz be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?
622 shares @ 1.5¢·now 2.4¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$14.61
$5.33
- YES
Will Ben Shelton be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?
622 shares @ 1.5¢·now 2.1¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$13.31
$4.03
- YES
Will 60-79 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?
463 shares @ 20.0¢·now 2.9¢·exp May 17, 2026$13.21
$-79.48
- YES
Will 80 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?
610 shares @ 20.0¢·now 1.9¢·exp May 17, 2026$11.59
$-110.45
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 92m?$0.58May 18, 12:26 UTC
- CONVERSIONCyprus House of Representatives Election Winner$6.33May 18, 12:10 UTC
- CONVERSIONCyprus House of Representatives Election Winner$4.67May 18, 12:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DNM (DEK) win the most seats at the Cyprus House of Representatives election?$10.99May 18, 12:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DISY win the most seats at the Cyprus House of Representatives election?$2.65May 18, 12:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DIKO win the most seats at the Cyprus House of Representatives election?$17.62May 18, 12:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AKEL win the most seats at the Cyprus House of Representatives election?$14.91May 18, 12:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DIPA win the most seats at the Cyprus House of Representatives election?$4.67May 18, 12:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill KOSP win the most seats at the Cyprus House of Representatives election?$17.62May 18, 12:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ELAM win the most seats at the Cyprus House of Representatives election?$17.59May 18, 12:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$19.24May 18, 11:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$25.08May 18, 11:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Choo Kyung-ho win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?$6.02May 18, 11:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kim Boo-kyum win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?$14.97May 18, 11:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kim Boo-kyum win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?$6.99May 18, 11:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kim Boo-kyum win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?$4.79May 18, 11:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kim Boo-kyum win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?$2.78May 18, 11:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 60-79 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?$1.24May 18, 11:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$0.30May 18, 10:40 UTC
- CONVERSIONDaegu Mayoral Election Winner$56.00May 18, 10:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $6.05
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 08:50 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 12:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 19 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".