Daring-Polyp-Radar
0x5141fa5e7a9b1b08fc4dd8a5d6c81259980e7346
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
19
Open notional
$12.02
Total PnL
$-69.10
Realised
$4.61
Win rate
71%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- YES
Will Suzzanna V. Tanner advance to the general election for WA-03?
91 shares @ 11.0¢·now 5.5¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$4.95
$-5.04
- YES
Probable FDV above $200M one day after launch?
63 shares @ 8.0¢·now 5.9¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$3.66
$-1.34
- NO
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-52 House seat?
45 shares @ 11.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$3.41
$-1.59
- YES
Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index dip to 30 by May 31?
145 shares @ 6.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-9.44
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET
60 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-4.20
- MILWAUKEE BREWERS
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Minnesota Twins
40 shares @ 31.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$0.00
$-12.44
- YES
Will Eyüpspor win on 2026-05-17?
15 shares @ 64.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-9.60
- MIBR ACADEMY
Counter-Strike: ALKA vs MIBR Academy (BO3) - CCT South America Series 2 Group Stage
10 shares @ 30.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-3.05
- NO
Will Kasımpaşa SK win on 2026-05-17?
10 shares @ 42.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-4.25
- WASHINGTON NATIONALS
Baltimore Orioles vs. Washington Nationals
7 shares @ 34.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$0.00
$-2.40
Recent activity
- TRADESELLAaron Taylor-Johnson announced as next James Bond?$9.84Jun 12, 09:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYZhejiang Lions vs. Shanghai Sharks$1.14May 31, 12:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYZhejiang Lions vs. Shanghai Sharks$0.90May 31, 12:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC win on 2026-05-31?$2.96May 31, 12:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC win on 2026-05-31?$1.00May 31, 12:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC win on 2026-05-31?$3.90May 31, 12:32 UTC
- TRADESELLCounter-Strike: TDK vs OG (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship European Series #1 Playoffs$2.04May 31, 11:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: TDK vs OG (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship European Series #1 Playoffs$1.98May 31, 11:22 UTC
- TRADESELLLoL: Team Secret Whales vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO5) - LCP Playoffs$1.32May 31, 11:17 UTC
- TRADESELLLoL: Team Secret Whales vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO5) - LCP Playoffs$4.38May 31, 11:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Team Secret Whales vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO5) - LCP Playoffs$1.26May 31, 11:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Team Secret Whales vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO5) - LCP Playoffs$4.32May 31, 11:12 UTC
- TRADESELLLoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffs$3.36May 31, 11:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffs$3.30May 31, 10:58 UTC
- TRADESELLRoland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Brandon Nakashima$3.75May 30, 21:07 UTC
- TRADESELLMilwaukee Brewers vs. Houston Astros$1.80May 30, 20:47 UTC
- TRADESELLMilwaukee Brewers vs. Houston Astros$1.00May 30, 20:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYMilwaukee Brewers vs. Houston Astros$2.90May 30, 20:46 UTC
- TRADESELLMilwaukee Brewers vs. Houston Astros$3.00May 30, 20:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYRoland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Brandon Nakashima$3.70May 30, 20:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $2.57
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 23, 18:58 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 12, 09:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.