Dizzy-Lemur
0x519556f235d1f76572211b03862f54ca178644eb
Wallet digest
Activity score
89/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
200
Open notional
$1.4K
Total PnL
$-18.36
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will fewer than 150 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?
250 shares @ 45.0¢·now 57.4¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$143.38
$30.82
- YES
Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?
205 shares @ 56.8¢·now 62.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$127.10
$10.60
- YES
Will 150-174 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?
250 shares @ 32.4¢·now 33.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$82.50
$1.41
- YES
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the September meeting?
130 shares @ 41.5¢·now 58.2¢·exp Sep 15, 2026$75.66
$21.71
- YES
Will there be between 0 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?
205 shares @ 10.3¢·now 24.9¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$51.05
$29.98
- YES
Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the September meeting?
135 shares @ 46.8¢·now 33.5¢·exp Sep 15, 2026$45.23
$-18.00
- YES
Will Republicans win 0 Senate and Governor elections in states won by Kamala?
120 shares @ 18.8¢·now 36.3¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$43.50
$20.97
- YES
Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 0.6% and 1.0%?
80 shares @ 34.8¢·now 53.5¢·exp Jan 10, 2027$42.80
$14.95
- YES
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting?
50 shares @ 78.4¢·now 81.5¢·exp Sep 17, 2026$40.74
$1.54
- YES
Will Claude go down 6-8 times in July?
65 shares @ 57.5¢·now 53.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$34.77
$-2.58
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be less than 2.50%?$0.02Jul 11, 05:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 3.00% and 3.49%?$0.06Jul 11, 05:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be at least 5.50%?$0.63Jul 11, 05:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 2.50% and 2.99%?$0.32Jul 11, 05:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 5.00% and 5.49%?$0.51Jul 11, 05:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 4.50% and 4.99%?$0.78Jul 11, 05:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 4.00% and 4.49%?$1.25Jul 11, 05:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be at least 1.0%?$0.08Jul 11, 05:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be negative?$0.36Jul 11, 05:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.8% and 0.9%?$0.06Jul 11, 05:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.6% and 0.7%?$0.31Jul 11, 05:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%?$1.76Jul 11, 05:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CZ post 180-199 posts from July 7 to July 14, 2026?$0.01Jul 11, 04:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CZ post 140-159 posts from July 7 to July 14, 2026?$0.01Jul 11, 04:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CZ post 160-179 posts from July 7 to July 14, 2026?$0.01Jul 11, 04:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CZ post 200+ posts from July 7 to July 14, 2026?$0.01Jul 11, 04:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CZ post 120-139 posts from July 7 to July 14, 2026?$0.01Jul 11, 04:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CZ post 100-119 posts from July 7 to July 14, 2026?$0.01Jul 11, 04:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CZ post 40-59 posts from July 7 to July 14, 2026?$0.12Jul 11, 04:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CZ post 80-99 posts from July 7 to July 14, 2026?$0.02Jul 11, 04:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 44/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.73
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 11, 04:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 11, 05:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.