Sizzling-Ounce
0x51ad8bfc74c6cf18df67e637f9ecfc757ce205be
Wallet digest
Activity score
86/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$2.6K
Total PnL
$-184.05
Realised
$59.12
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- NO
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
833 shares @ 93.5¢·now 93.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$782.13
$3.33
- NO
Trump out as President before 2027?
633 shares @ 90.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$572.87
$3.16
- NO
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?
541 shares @ 89.7¢·now 91.8¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$496.28
$11.14
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?
411 shares @ 62.0¢·now 75.5¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$310.42
$55.42
- NO
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
203 shares @ 98.5¢·now 97.8¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$198.58
$-1.42
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
221 shares @ 68.0¢·now 81.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$179.76
$29.76
- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
50 shares @ 79.0¢·now 73.5¢·exp Sep 16, 2026$36.75
$-2.75
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET
167 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 12, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET
130 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026$0.00
$-61.10
- LOPES
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)
105 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-45.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$150.00Jun 9, 23:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$47.09Jun 9, 23:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?$100.00Jun 9, 23:48 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?$200.40Jun 9, 23:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?$1.37Jun 8, 06:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?$27.48Jun 8, 06:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?$10.75Jun 8, 01:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?$200.00Jun 8, 01:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?$25.00Jun 8, 01:20 UTC
- REWARD$2.16Jun 7, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill US withdraw from NATO before 2027?$164.42Jun 6, 08:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill US withdraw from NATO before 2027?$4.98Jun 6, 07:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill US withdraw from NATO before 2027?$6.84Jun 6, 07:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill US withdraw from NATO before 2027?$6.83Jun 6, 06:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?$487.64Jun 6, 06:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President before 2027?$187.20Jun 6, 06:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill US withdraw from NATO before 2027?$6.42Jun 6, 05:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill US withdraw from NATO before 2027?$4.98Jun 6, 04:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill US withdraw from NATO before 2027?$6.43Jun 6, 04:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill US withdraw from NATO before 2027?$5.25Jun 6, 04:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $128.64
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 04:04 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 9, 23:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.