Vivacious-Fondue
0x51b11a18e75d0f4c3f8e8e360f89eb911d727865
Wallet digest
Activity score
91/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$10.0K
Total PnL
$-5.7K
Realised
$2.2K
Win rate
90%
48 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?
1483 shares @ 70.5¢·now 84.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.2K
$199.92
- NO
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
1996 shares @ 42.8¢·now 47.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$938.06
$84.68
- NO
SHEIN IPO before 2027?
975 shares @ 64.6¢·now 79.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$774.27
$144.93
- YES
Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?
2055 shares @ 19.6¢·now 31.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$647.32
$243.91
- NO
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
1100 shares @ 54.6¢·now 56.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$621.39
$20.52
- NO
Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30?
395 shares @ 72.5¢·now 94.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$372.48
$86.29
- NO
Rippling IPO before 2027?
418 shares @ 61.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$345.20
$89.96
- NO
Databricks IPO before 2027?
398 shares @ 54.4¢·now 79.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$316.41
$100.08
- NO
Anduril IPO before 2027?
337 shares @ 65.4¢·now 87.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$293.01
$72.66
- NO
Will Perry Johnson win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election?
450 shares @ 64.0¢·now 63.0¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$283.50
$-4.50
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.14Jun 13, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill A'ja Wilson have the highest points per game in the WNBA 2026 regular season?$9.54Jun 12, 23:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?$75.25Jun 12, 18:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?$8.72Jun 12, 17:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump attend 3 or more World Cup matches?$78.72Jun 12, 16:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump attend 3 or more World Cup matches?$26.55Jun 12, 16:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump attend 3 or more World Cup matches?$126.54Jun 12, 15:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill A'ja Wilson have the highest points per game in the WNBA 2026 regular season?$21.50Jun 12, 14:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump attend 3 or more World Cup matches?$50.62Jun 12, 14:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the biggest blowout win in the 2026 NBA Finals be by 15 or more points?$22.34Jun 12, 13:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?$4.80Jun 12, 13:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump attend 3 or more World Cup matches?$138.36Jun 12, 13:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump attend 3 or more World Cup matches?$112.00Jun 12, 13:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?$32.87Jun 12, 12:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Nathan MacKinnon win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?$455.00Jun 12, 03:05 UTC
- REDEEM1st 5 Innings Spread: Seattle Mariners (-2.5)$422.00Jun 12, 01:14 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.21Jun 12, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.19Jun 12, 00:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump attend 3 or more World Cup matches?$12.84Jun 11, 23:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump attend 3 or more World Cup matches?$24.07Jun 11, 23:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $75.40
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 11, 03:36 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 48 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.