Worse-Harvest
0x51c2643eb52ab7b4383dc36ba883e28386e01d2d
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
17
Open notional
$49.02
Total PnL
$0.17
Realised
$-0.01
Win rate
0%
17 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- NO
Will Moonshot have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?
9 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$8.82
$0.02
- YES
Will SpaceX IPO by December 31, 2026?
9 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.64
$0.04
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on June 4?
9 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$8.55
$0.01
- NO
Will claude-opus-4-6 have the best AI model on June 6, 2026?
3 shares @ 99.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$3.35
$0.02
- NO
Will Solana dip to $30 June 1-7?
2 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 8, 2026$2.23
$0.00
- YES
Will SpaceX IPO by September 30, 2026?
2 shares @ 99.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$1.98
$0.01
- NO
Will Solana reach $110 June 1-7?
2 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 8, 2026$1.80
$0.01
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on June 4?
2 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$1.68
$0.01
- YES
Will the price of Solana be above $60 on June 4?
2 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$1.55
$0.00
- NO
Will the price of Solana be between $50 and $60 on June 5?
1 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$1.39
$0.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Moonshot have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?$8.80Jun 4, 06:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill claude-opus-4-6 have the best AI model on June 6, 2026?$3.33Jun 4, 06:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill gemini-3.5-flash have the best AI model on June 6, 2026?$0.28Jun 4, 06:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on June 4?$8.54Jun 4, 06:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on June 4?$1.67Jun 4, 06:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on June 4?$1.30Jun 4, 06:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 4?$1.31Jun 4, 06:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C or higher on June 4?$1.33Jun 4, 06:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX IPO by December 31, 2026?$8.60Jun 4, 06:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX IPO by September 30, 2026?$1.97Jun 4, 06:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana dip to $40 June 1-7?$1.30Jun 4, 06:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana dip to $30 June 1-7?$2.23Jun 4, 06:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $100 June 1-7?$1.15Jun 4, 06:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $110 June 1-7?$1.79Jun 4, 06:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on June 5?$1.21Jun 4, 06:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $50 and $60 on June 5?$1.39Jun 4, 06:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $80 on June 4?$1.38Jun 4, 06:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $60 on June 4?$1.55Jun 4, 06:00 UTC
- REDEEMXi Jinping out in 2025?$1.41Jun 4, 05:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on December 25?$1.50Jun 4, 05:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
35/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 17 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
37 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 41/100.
17 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $4.81
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 5, 00:06 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 4, 06:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 17 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.