Guilty-Liar
0x5260767b50b487b4bde443f716df5fbf695cfd71
Wallet digest
Activity score
81/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
78
Open notional
$789.77
Total PnL
$-875.03
Realised
$808.31
Win rate
65%
20 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 78- NO
Will BRICS add a new member in 2026?
162 shares @ 52.3¢·now 56.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$90.84
$6.01
- YES
Will Romeu Zema finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
406 shares @ 39.6¢·now 19.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$79.21
$-81.76
- YES
Will Iran advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
110 shares @ 61.7¢·now 62.5¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$68.69
$0.84
- NO
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30?
100 shares @ 67.0¢·now 65.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$65.50
$-1.50
- NO
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?
74 shares @ 42.3¢·now 85.5¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$63.60
$32.10
- NO
Will DR Congo advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
100 shares @ 57.0¢·now 57.5¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$57.50
$0.50
- YES
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
100 shares @ 52.0¢·now 56.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$56.00
$4.00
- YES
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
63 shares @ 32.3¢·now 87.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$54.72
$34.49
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
100 shares @ 39.0¢·now 48.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$48.50
$9.50
- YES
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
100 shares @ 39.0¢·now 47.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$47.00
$8.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill United States win on 2026-06-12?$100.00Jun 13, 05:50 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 13, 00:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?$32.26Jun 12, 23:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$29.96Jun 12, 20:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?$10.21Jun 12, 19:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Canada win on 2026-06-12?$70.38Jun 12, 19:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$20.35Jun 12, 18:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco win on 2026-06-13?$10.25Jun 12, 18:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$28.07Jun 12, 18:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?$39.00Jun 12, 17:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?$52.00Jun 12, 17:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$39.00Jun 12, 17:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States win on 2026-06-12?$47.75Jun 12, 13:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canada win on 2026-06-12?$47.75Jun 12, 13:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30?$67.88Jun 12, 12:57 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 12, 00:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Obsession" be the May film with the highest domestic gross on June 30?$156.09Jun 11, 15:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$11.19Jun 11, 14:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$7.41Jun 11, 14:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$9.27Jun 11, 14:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $41.49
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 31, 00:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 05:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 20 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.