Ragged-Yin
0x52c38ea5d9a83a4961000171c714646243e4175c
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
46
Open notional
$34.95
Total PnL
$-12.60
Realised
$2.25
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 46- YES
Will Lionel Messi win 2026 MLS Most Valuable Player?
85 shares @ 3.6¢·now 22.1¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$18.70
$15.65
- NO
Will Cristiano Ronaldo score 3+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
5 shares @ 11.0¢·now 42.5¢·exp Aug 3, 2026$1.93
$1.43
- YES
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
11 shares @ 8.9¢·now 15.6¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$1.75
$0.75
- YES
Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?
16 shares @ 12.3¢·now 10.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.68
$-0.29
- YES
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
17 shares @ 6.0¢·now 7.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.17
$0.17
- YES
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
26 shares @ 3.9¢·now 4.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.14
$0.14
- OVER 3.5
Alex Molcan vs. Daniel Altmaier: Total Sets O/U 3.5
1 shares @ 67.0¢·now 67.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$1.00
$0.00
- OVER 3.5
Alex Michelsen vs. Jacob Fearnley: Total Sets O/U 3.5
2 shares @ 66.0¢·now 65.5¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.99
$-0.01
- YES
Will Novak Djokovic be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?
10 shares @ 12.0¢·now 9.8¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$0.98
$-0.21
- OVER 3.5
Sho Shimabukuro vs. Jaime Faria: Total Sets O/U 3.5
1 shares @ 69.0¢·now 67.5¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.98
$-0.02
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYGermany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advance$1.01Jun 29, 23:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYYannick Hanfmann vs. Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard: Total Sets O/U 3.5 AND Valentin Royer vs. Harry Wendelken: Total Sets O/U 3.5 AND Benjamin Bonzi vs. Gabriel Diallo: Total Sets O/U 3.5$1.00Jun 29, 22:37 UTC
- REDEEMAdolfo Vallejo vs. Nicolas Mejia: Total Sets O/U 3.5$1.52Jun 29, 19:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYSho Shimabukuro vs. Jaime Faria: Total Sets O/U 3.5$1.01Jun 29, 17:59 UTC
- REDEEMAdam Walton vs. Dino Prizmic: Total Sets O/U 3.5$1.49Jun 29, 17:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alexander Zverev be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?$1.03Jun 29, 15:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?$1.01Jun 29, 15:05 UTC
- REDEEMTaylor Fritz vs. Jack Draper: Total Sets O/U 3.5$0.75Jun 29, 14:34 UTC
- REDEEMEmilio Nava vs. Ignacio Buse: Total Sets O/U 3.5$1.52Jun 29, 13:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Cristiano Ronaldo score 3+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.01Jun 29, 12:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYAdolfo Vallejo vs. Nicolas Mejia: Total Sets O/U 3.5$1.01Jun 29, 12:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYAdam Walton vs. Dino Prizmic: Total Sets O/U 3.5$1.01Jun 29, 12:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYEmilio Nava vs. Ignacio Buse: Total Sets O/U 3.5$1.01Jun 28, 08:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?$1.02Jun 28, 08:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Japan win on 2026-06-29?$1.02Jun 28, 08:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill DR Congo win on 2026-06-27?$1.50Jun 28, 01:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYAlex Michelsen vs. Jacob Fearnley: Total Sets O/U 3.5$1.01Jun 27, 16:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYAlex Molcan vs. Daniel Altmaier: Total Sets O/U 3.5$1.01Jun 27, 16:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYTaylor Fritz vs. Jack Draper: Total Sets O/U 3.5$1.01Jun 27, 16:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DR Congo win on 2026-06-27?$1.01Jun 27, 16:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
41 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 56/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $1.12
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 20, 04:25 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 29, 23:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.