0x52de5957ed6e83aec078bed37afb0441acb88527
0x52de5957ed6e83aec078bed37afb0441acb88527
Wallet digest
Activity score
29/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
11
Open notional
$25.85
Total PnL
$-30.39
Realised
$-4.42
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of June?
5 shares @ 51.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.00
$2.45
- NO
Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?
5 shares @ 76.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.00
$1.20
- NO
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by June 30?
5 shares @ 59.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.00
$2.05
- NO
Will Beto O’Rourke announce a Presidential run before 2027?
5 shares @ 74.0¢·now 98.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.92
$1.22
- NO
Will Trump meet with MrBeast in 2026?
5 shares @ 76.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.33
$0.53
- YES
Will Ari Weinstein leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026?
7 shares @ 14.0¢·now 17.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.24
$0.26
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?
21 shares @ 5.0¢·now 1.7¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.36
$-0.69
- YES
Will HSBC fail by June 30, 2026?
39 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.08
- YES
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?
30 shares @ 78.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-23.40
- YES
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?
14 shares @ 7.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.11
Recent activity
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - February 22, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET$0.00May 12, 20:19 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET$0.00May 12, 20:18 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET$0.00May 12, 20:15 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET$0.00May 12, 20:15 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET$0.00May 12, 20:15 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET$0.00May 12, 20:15 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET$0.00May 12, 20:14 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - February 4, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET$0.00May 12, 20:14 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET$0.00May 12, 20:14 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET$0.00May 12, 20:14 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET$0.00May 12, 20:14 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET$0.00May 12, 20:14 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - February 22, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET$0.00May 12, 20:14 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET$0.00May 12, 20:14 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET$0.00May 12, 20:14 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET$0.00May 12, 20:14 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET$0.00May 12, 20:14 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET$0.00May 12, 20:14 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET$0.00May 12, 20:14 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET$0.00May 12, 20:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
20/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 12, 20:10 UTC
- Last active
- May 12, 20:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.