Jealous-Bat
0x52e0ee3872ab19c5970530c870ae8ade3cff89e4
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
69
Open notional
$224.87
Total PnL
$-1.0K
Realised
$-48.28
Win rate
17%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 69- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
335 shares @ 17.0¢·now 23.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$78.79
$21.79
- NO
Ethereal FDV above $50M one day after launch?
85 shares @ 74.9¢·now 69.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$58.84
$-4.61
- YES
Iran full airspace closure by August 31?
100 shares @ 27.0¢·now 32.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$32.50
$5.50
- YES
Trump out as President before 2027?
200 shares @ 8.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$15.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?
200 shares @ 6.0¢·now 5.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.00
$-2.00
- NO
Ethereal FDV above $200M one day after launch?
10 shares @ 58.0¢·now 78.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$7.85
$2.05
- NO
Ethereal FDV above $25M one day after launch?
40 shares @ 19.0¢·now 19.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$7.80
$0.20
- NO
Ethereal FDV above $100M one day after launch?
10 shares @ 66.0¢·now 78.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$7.80
$1.20
- YES
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?
75 shares @ 21.2¢·now 7.3¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$5.54
$-10.46
- YES
Trump out as President by July 31?
500 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.75
$-2.75
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Spain 3 - 2 Argentina?$5.12Jul 19, 19:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-07-19?$18.16Jul 19, 19:01 UTC
- REDEEMLamine Yamal: 3+ shots$30.00Jul 10, 21:34 UTC
- REDEEMSpain vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5$25.00Jul 10, 21:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYLamine Yamal: 3+ shots$13.03Jul 10, 18:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYMikel Oyarzabal: 3+ shots$13.03Jul 10, 18:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYDani Olmo: 3+ shots$8.04Jul 10, 18:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYPedri: 3+ shots$2.30Jul 10, 18:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYAlex Baena: 3+ shots$7.02Jul 10, 18:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYPau Cubarsí: 2+ shots$1.46Jul 10, 18:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYAymeric Laporte: 3+ shots$0.84Jul 10, 18:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYRodri: 3+ shots$1.77Jul 10, 18:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYPedro Porro: 3+ shots$1.25Jul 10, 18:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYPedri: 3+ shots$1.15Jul 10, 18:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYCucurella: 3+ shots$1.57Jul 10, 18:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYDani Olmo: 3+ shots$4.32Jul 10, 18:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYMikel Oyarzabal: 3+ shots$6.42Jul 10, 18:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYLamine Yamal: 3+ shots$6.52Jul 10, 18:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?$12.00Jul 10, 13:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President before 2027?$16.00Jul 10, 13:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
22/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
17% win rate over 6 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
44 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 61/100.
6 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $31.74
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 7, 02:30 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 19, 19:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.