Past-Disguise
0x52ebca459280966f4a56240a05e38df8527067ac
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$8.6K
Total PnL
$-2.5K
Realised
$1.5K
Win rate
54%
112 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?
11300 shares @ 11.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$847.53
$-393.31
- YES
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?
3111 shares @ 11.0¢·now 9.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$287.77
$-53.67
- YES
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
1696 shares @ 23.0¢·now 15.7¢·exp Sep 20, 2026$266.25
$-124.28
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on June 13?
250 shares @ 92.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$249.88
$19.88
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on June 13?
250 shares @ 69.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$249.88
$77.38
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on June 13?
250 shares @ 67.0¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$249.50
$82.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 76-77°F on June 13?
249 shares @ 85.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$237.79
$26.14
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 13?
201 shares @ 75.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$200.90
$50.15
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
4750 shares @ 4.2¢·now 4.2¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$197.13
$-4.09
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on June 14?
201 shares @ 84.0¢·now 83.5¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$167.62
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?$9.99Jun 13, 19:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on June 14?$87.87Jun 13, 19:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C or below on June 14?$24.08Jun 13, 19:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on June 14?$18.27Jun 13, 19:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on June 14?$17.41Jun 13, 19:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on June 14?$170.00Jun 13, 19:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on June 12?$0.11Jun 13, 19:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 13?$0.27Jun 13, 19:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on June 11?$0.00Jun 13, 19:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on June 13?$0.00Jun 13, 19:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 13?$0.00Jun 13, 19:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 90-91°F on June 11?$0.00Jun 13, 19:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on June 11?$0.00Jun 13, 19:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C or below on June 13?$0.00Jun 13, 19:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C or higher on June 12?$0.00Jun 13, 19:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on June 13?$0.00Jun 13, 19:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on June 13?$0.00Jun 13, 19:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on June 11?$0.00Jun 13, 19:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on June 12?$0.00Jun 13, 19:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C or higher on June 13?$0.00Jun 13, 19:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 6
- Avg trade size
- $54.60
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 13, 19:30 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 19:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 112 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.