Past-Disguise
0x52ebca459280966f4a56240a05e38df8527067ac
Quality score
100/100
Open positions
114
Open notional
$6.4K
Total PnL
$1.3K
Realised
$2.0K
Win rate
80%
61 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 114- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
325 shares @ 63.3¢·now 86.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$280.95
$75.43
- YES
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
5000 shares @ 3.8¢·now 3.3¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$162.50
$-27.43
- YES
Will Nikolai Denkov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?
729 shares @ 21.8¢·now 19.5¢·exp Nov 30, 2026$142.15
$-17.06
- YES
Will Russia capture Sloviansk by June 30?
2948 shares @ 6.3¢·now 4.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$141.52
$-43.78
- YES
Will France win Eurovision 2026?
1200 shares @ 11.5¢·now 11.5¢·exp May 16, 2026$137.40
$-0.60
- YES
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
2100 shares @ 6.2¢·now 6.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$136.50
$5.74
- YES
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
1784 shares @ 8.3¢·now 7.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$133.78
$-13.54
- YES
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
7000 shares @ 3.0¢·now 1.8¢·exp May 31, 2026$126.00
$-83.74
- YES
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
750 shares @ 17.0¢·now 16.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$123.75
$-3.75
- YES
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?
1000 shares @ 13.0¢·now 11.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$117.50
$-12.19
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$0.138m ago
- TRADEBUYAny Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?$0.751h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$0.292h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$0.292h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$0.472h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$0.482h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$7.593h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Charlotte FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?$1.863h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$0.293h ago
- TRADESELLWill Novak Djokovic be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?$1.003h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$0.393h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$5.393h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$0.293h ago
- TRADESELLWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$1.343h ago
- TRADESELLWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$1.553h ago
- TRADESELLWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$0.113h ago
- TRADESELLWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$1.443h ago
- TRADESELLWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$1.563h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$0.184h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$0.184h ago
Score breakdown
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $3.22
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 6h ago
- Last active
- 8m ago
Score is a 0–100 composite of open position size, breadth (number of trades), realised + unrealised ROI, win rate on closed markets, and category specialisation.