Equal-Tributary
0x530486ddfbf50e6d5514f5503d73d380a2fb13e8
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
23
Open notional
$286.98
Total PnL
$-3.1K
Realised
$208.09
Win rate
44%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
7045 shares @ 13.3¢·now 3.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$257.14
$-678.15
- YES
Will Pacifica launch a token by September 30 2026?
452 shares @ 17.4¢·now 4.9¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$22.13
$-56.63
- YES
Will Pacifica launch a token by December 31 2026?
50 shares @ 40.2¢·now 15.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$7.71
$-12.29
- YES
Will Pacifica launch a token by June 30 2026?
2260 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-112.42
- NO
Over $80M committed to the Ranger public sale?
2212 shares @ 44.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-988.38
- NO
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
1537 shares @ 6.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- GAMERLEGION
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winner
1353 shares @ 7.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-95.64
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 6?
1000 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- VICI GAMING
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winner
980 shares @ 20.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-205.00
- TEAM SPIRIT
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner
950 shares @ 4.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.02Jul 29, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 28, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 27, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 26, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 25, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 24, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 23, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 22, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 21, 20:06 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 21, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 19, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 18, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 17, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 16, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 15, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 14, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 13, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 12, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 11, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 10, 00:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
22/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
44% win rate over 9 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
2 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 69/100.
9 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 2
- Avg trade size
- $5.39
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 12, 00:14 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.