Trustworthy-Transparency
0x5311e29f298fc0a3e128f76a9c49ecb713ff61ee
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
27
Open notional
$96.36
Total PnL
$-212.91
Realised
$-2.03
Win rate
80%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- YES
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?
892 shares @ 13.2¢·now 5.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$49.05
$-68.23
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
105 shares @ 52.2¢·now 23.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$24.75
$-30.25
- YES
Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027?
263 shares @ 9.5¢·now 3.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.12
$-14.88
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
218 shares @ 10.5¢·now 3.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.19
$-14.81
- YES
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?
50 shares @ 16.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.25
$-3.75
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
6088 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-12.06
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET
1100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2026$0.00
$-11.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET
23 shares @ 30.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-6.97
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - March 23, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET
17 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET
15 shares @ 72.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2026$0.00
$-10.89
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jul 28, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 27, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 26, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 25, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 24, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 23, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 22, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 21, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 20, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 19, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 18, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 17, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 16, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 15, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 14, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 13, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 12, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 11, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 10, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 9, 00:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
23/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
80% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
1 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 55/100.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 1
- Avg trade size
- $1.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 10, 00:16 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.