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EntertainmentMulti-outcomeExpires Dec 31, 2026

Will The Odyssey have the best domestic opening week in 2026?

Probability

1h

-0.1pp

24h

-1.1pp

24h Vol

$0.00

Liquidity

$2.3K

Probability (last 7 days)

+5.1pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 14:00Apr 25, 2026, 13:45
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 3 factors
  1. 1

    Down 1pp over 24h

    Now 9¢; -0.1pp in the last hour.

  2. 2

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 5986h with open resolution ambiguity.

  3. 3

    Wide spread — 13.3¢

    Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

AI prose summary

 

Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 5986.2h

    LOW
  • 13:45Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Expires in 5986h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW
  • 13:45Price

    Probability down -5.5pp

    to 9¢

    MEDIUM
  • 12:00Price

    Probability up 8.4pp

    to 18¢

    MEDIUM
  • 10:00Price

    Probability down -14.5pp

    to 9¢

    MEDIUM
  • 08:00Price

    Probability down -14.5pp

    to 9¢

    MEDIUM
  • 05:00Price

    Probability down -4.6pp

    to 9¢

    MEDIUM
  • 03:00Price

    Probability down -9.6pp

    to 10¢

    MEDIUM
  • 02:00Price

    Probability down -14.4pp

    to 10¢

    MEDIUM
  • 23:00Price

    Probability up 14.6pp

    to 24¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 3.1pp

    to 11¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 13.7pp

    to 22¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -3.7pp

    to 10¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 5.5pp

    to 10¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 4.7pp

    to 11¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 11.0pp

    to 20¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 3.8pp

    to 15¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -8.9pp

    to 9¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 9.4pp

    to 19¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 10.0pp

    to 21¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 9.7pp

    to 12¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 9.8pp

    to 12¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 7.6pp

    to 10¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 7.8pp

    to 10¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 7.6pp

    to 10¢

    MEDIUM
  • 3d agoPrice

    Probability up 7.4pp

    to 10¢

    MEDIUM
  • 3d agoPrice

    Probability up 7.3pp

    to 10¢

    MEDIUM
  • 3d agoPrice

    Probability up 7.1pp

    to 10¢

    MEDIUM
  • 3d agoPrice

    Probability up 6.5pp

    to 10¢

    MEDIUM
  • 3d agoPrice

    Probability up 20.4pp

    to 24¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening week than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekly Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening week are final (i.e. not studio estimates). This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week. If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win. If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
Dec 31, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening week than any other movie in 2026Ambiguous wordingextracted · low
Market type
Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
  • Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
  • Wide spread (13.3¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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