Timely-Federation
0x533c789d479d445186ff8ec132fa7a27541c2658
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-167.6K
Realised
$-359.51
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
223451 shares @ 70.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$0.00
$-157.0K
- YES
Will Michigan State win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
17616 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$0.00
$-320.89
- ARIZONA WILDCATS
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-1.5)
9246 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 5, 2026$0.00
$-4.6K
- YES
Will Arkansas win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
7587 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$0.00
$-59.53
- NUGGETS
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Timberwolves vs. Nuggets
5296 shares @ 59.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.00
$-3.1K
- UNDER
Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 157.5
3927 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 5, 2026$0.00
$-2.0K
- YES
Will Rick Devens be voted off Survivor Season 50 this week?
100 shares @ 78.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.00
$-78.65
- YES
Will Cirie Fields be voted off Survivor Season 50 this week?
100 shares @ 69.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.00
$-69.05
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?$0.00May 31, 19:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?$520.88May 31, 19:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?$63.31May 31, 19:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?$158.52May 31, 19:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?$1.28May 31, 19:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?$3.20May 31, 19:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?$3.21May 31, 19:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?$12.83May 31, 19:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?$7.4KMay 31, 19:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?$519.00May 31, 19:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?$50.00May 31, 08:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?$9.6KMay 31, 08:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Aubry Bracco win Survivor Season 50?$44.7KMay 21, 13:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?$482.55May 20, 15:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?$78.55May 20, 14:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?$1.8KMay 20, 14:58 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$8.99May 20, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?$265.62May 19, 04:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?$280.37May 19, 04:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?$16.62May 19, 04:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $1.4K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 23:56 UTC
- Last active
- May 31, 19:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.