Raw-Macadamia
0x533f7471c0f75d0068d73f3d72ade6ca1a65ae62
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
46
Open notional
$7.20
Total PnL
$-151.01
Realised
$-6.86
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 46- YES
Will Mark Wheeler be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Alabama?
112 shares @ 0.9¢·now 5.4¢·exp May 19, 2026$6.05
$5.05
- NO SALARY PEEK
Valorant: Asterisk vs No Salary Peek (BO3) - VCL South Asia: Regular Season
2300 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 25, 2026$1.15
$-1.15
- NO
Will Aston Villa win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET
521 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$0.00
$-6.26
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Melania Trump attend Trump’s Xi summit?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Mark Zuckerberg attend Trump’s Xi summit?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET
350 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET
300 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.00
$-11.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYNetherlands vs. Japan: O/U 0.5 AND Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 3.5 AND Spread: Germany (-1.5)$4.05Jun 14, 08:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill AI be charged with a crime before 2027?$0.83Jun 14, 07:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI's public ticker be $OPAI?$0.54Jun 14, 07:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.90Jun 14, 07:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET$1.05Jun 6, 10:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET$1.07Jun 1, 16:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET$1.07Jun 1, 16:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET$1.07Jun 1, 16:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?$2.04May 30, 14:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AI be charged with a crime before 2027?$1.57May 28, 18:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYValorant: Asterisk vs No Salary Peek (BO3) - VCL South Asia: Regular Season$1.34May 25, 18:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYValorant: Asterisk vs No Salary Peek (BO3) - VCL South Asia: Regular Season$0.58May 25, 18:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYValorant: Asterisk vs No Salary Peek (BO3) - VCL South Asia: Regular Season$0.45May 25, 18:19 UTC
- REDEEMCrystal Palace FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5$1.89May 24, 19:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWest Ham United FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 1.5$1.20May 24, 16:48 UTC
- TRADESELLBrighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 1.5$1.16May 24, 16:46 UTC
- TRADESELLManchester City FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 1.5$1.13May 24, 16:41 UTC
- TRADESELLNottingham Forest FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 1.5$1.20May 24, 16:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-24?$3.99May 24, 16:25 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET$0.00May 24, 12:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $2.27
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 22, 20:20 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 08:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.