Optimal-Tonic
0x534261fb7aff59f1cf080134dae538bbc32557bc
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$1.0K
Total PnL
$-5.7K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?
1045 shares @ 41.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.0K
$606.95
- YES
Will Trump flip the bird again in 2026?
5 shares @ 46.0¢·now 15.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.78
$-1.52
- YES
Will Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q1 2026
11903 shares @ 35.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-4.2K
- YES
Will André Ventura win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
2029 shares @ 56.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.1K
- NO
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 800k+ BTC by December 31, 2026?
1059 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-190.97
- UP
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 2?
1019 shares @ 19.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 2, 2026$0.00
$-200.68
- YES
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Australian Open?
1000 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-489.99
- NO
Will the Doomsday Clock move closer to Midnight?
145 shares @ 30.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-44.55
- NO
Will Tesla deliver between 350000 and 375000 vehicles in Q1 2026
123 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-30.67
Recent activity
- TRADESELLBlue wave in 2026?$75.45Apr 26, 18:03 UTC
- TRADESELLBlue tsunami in 2026?$112.83Apr 26, 18:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase February 3-9?$0.00Apr 26, 18:01 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by March 31?$300.58Apr 26, 17:54 UTC
- REWARD$1.34Mar 31, 00:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q1 2026$1.19Mar 30, 04:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q1 2026$1.47Mar 30, 04:20 UTC
- REWARD$0.16Mar 30, 00:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla deliver between 350000 and 375000 vehicles in Q1 2026$0.32Mar 29, 08:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla deliver between 350000 and 375000 vehicles in Q1 2026$6.99Mar 29, 08:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla deliver between 350000 and 375000 vehicles in Q1 2026$23.36Mar 29, 08:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q1 2026$22.30Mar 29, 03:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q1 2026$0.37Mar 29, 01:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q1 2026$27.40Mar 29, 01:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q1 2026$53.63Mar 29, 01:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q1 2026$12.80Mar 29, 01:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q1 2026$9.98Mar 29, 01:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q1 2026$1.42Mar 29, 01:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q1 2026$557.12Mar 29, 01:11 UTC
- REWARD$2.10Mar 29, 00:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $41.84
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 27, 14:06 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 26, 18:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.