Creative-Reception
0x534a15a7a5a60c47708af7598cee4d5e6eb9e99a
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$6.42
Total PnL
$-172.61
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5PM ET
5 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 8, 2026$5.01
$0.01
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
13 shares @ 7.5¢·now 10.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.41
$0.41
- NUGGETS
Kings vs. Nuggets
60 shares @ 84.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?
43 shares @ 92.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-40.17
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET
26 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-9.86
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET
20 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-8.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET
20 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - November 7, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET
18 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2025$0.00
$-9.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET
18 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-9.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET
18 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 10, 2025$0.00
$-9.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5PM ET$5.00Jun 8, 21:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$2.24Jun 8, 21:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$2.56Jun 8, 21:51 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5AM ET$3.57Jun 8, 21:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5AM ET$2.06May 22, 08:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03May 9, 17:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$2.02May 9, 17:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$2.01May 9, 17:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$5.49May 9, 17:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$5.00Apr 26, 01:18 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - April 22, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET$6.87Apr 26, 01:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - April 22, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET$4.37Apr 22, 22:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$1.59Apr 22, 22:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$1.58Apr 22, 22:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$5.00Apr 7, 13:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$5.00Apr 7, 13:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?$40.17Jan 25, 21:04 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$0.22Jan 24, 00:08 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET$19.80Jan 23, 17:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET$8.00Jan 23, 17:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $161.96
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 22, 12:41 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 8, 21:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.