Muddy-Substance
0x537c592ec2a5a07a1548cd4fe0f2a6ba449e1b5e
Quality score
67/100
Open positions
30
Open notional
$219.76
Total PnL
$-175.87
Realised
$-2.27
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 30- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
161 shares @ 31.0¢·now 31.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$50.81
$0.81
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
223 shares @ 8.9¢·now 20.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$45.66
$25.92
- YES
Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?
149 shares @ 18.8¢·now 16.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$24.69
$-3.31
- YES
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?
338 shares @ 8.3¢·now 7.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$24.34
$-3.66
- YES
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
550 shares @ 2.9¢·now 3.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$21.17
$4.98
- YES
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
26 shares @ 11.4¢·now 56.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$14.93
$11.93
- YES
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?
38 shares @ 26.0¢·now 26.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$10.19
$0.19
- YES
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
190 shares @ 5.5¢·now 5.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$9.97
$-0.47
- YES
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?
621 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.9¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$5.28
$-12.72
- YES
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026?
21 shares @ 24.0¢·now 23.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$4.79
$-0.21
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?$13.009d ago
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?$5.009d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$15.009d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$35.009d ago
- YIELD$0.0016d ago
- YIELD$0.0020d ago
- YIELD$0.0021d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?$2.0027d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?$7.0027d ago
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$15.0027d ago
- TRADESELLUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$4.3827d ago
- YIELD$0.0029d ago
- YIELD$0.0033d ago
- YIELD$0.0036d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?$5.0037d ago
- YIELD$0.0039d ago
- YIELD$0.0040d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?$10.0042d ago
- TRADESELLNetanyahu out by March 31?$11.6442d ago
- YIELD$0.0042d ago
Score breakdown
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $16.81
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 51d ago
- Last active
- 9d ago
Score is a 0–100 composite of open position size, breadth (number of trades), realised + unrealised ROI, win rate on closed markets, and category specialisation.