Wilted-Speaking
0x539b2fb01e41bb2f18f5afd4baa82a1534d9624c
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
51
Open notional
$1.1K
Total PnL
$325.46
Realised
$76.73
Win rate
63%
16 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 51- NO
Will Chainlink reach $16 by December 31, 2026?
248 shares @ 33.9¢·now 73.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$182.49
$98.28
- NO
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?
200 shares @ 12.5¢·now 67.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$135.00
$110.00
- NO
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?
156 shares @ 26.7¢·now 82.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$128.70
$87.02
- NO
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?
160 shares @ 65.0¢·now 77.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$123.20
$19.20
- NO
Will Chainlink reach $18 by December 31, 2026?
119 shares @ 44.0¢·now 76.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$90.73
$38.55
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?
96 shares @ 52.3¢·now 90.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$86.88
$36.72
- NO
Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026
100 shares @ 31.0¢·now 83.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$83.50
$52.50
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?
60 shares @ 30.0¢·now 83.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$49.80
$31.80
- NO
Will UNI reach $8.00 by December 31, 2026?
43 shares @ 52.1¢·now 89.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$37.85
$15.69
- NO
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?
100 shares @ 22.0¢·now 36.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$36.00
$14.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jul 29, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 28, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 27, 00:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill UNI reach $11.00 by December 31, 2026?$21.02Jul 26, 15:28 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 26, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 25, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 24, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 23, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 22, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 21, 20:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP dip to $0.20 by December 31, 2026?$4.70Jul 21, 16:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 21, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 19, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 18, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 17, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 16, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 15, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 14, 00:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum dip to $700 by December 31, 2026?$6.40Jul 13, 00:29 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 13, 00:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
36/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
63% win rate over 16 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
21 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 43/100.
16 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 21
- Avg trade size
- $12.14
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 30, 17:00 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 16 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.