Vigorous-Fratricide
0x541702f7b2f61ddd980276fe4a0561e1452faf1c
Wallet digest
Activity score
86/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$580.96
Total PnL
$-17.93
Realised
$-0.70
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
291 shares @ 99.6¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$289.85
$-0.15
- NO
Will Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
280 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$279.86
$-0.14
- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
10 shares @ 96.3¢·now 98.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.80
$0.17
- NO
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1 shares @ 99.3¢·now 99.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.45
$-0.00
- YES
Will Ethereum hit $6,000 by December 31?
36 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-17.11
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$280.01May 17, 15:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?$268.69May 17, 15:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?$290.06May 13, 23:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?$269.03May 13, 23:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?$577.00May 13, 14:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?$35.19May 11, 10:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?$136.51May 11, 08:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?$28.50May 11, 08:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?$38.57May 11, 08:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?$159.60May 11, 08:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?$149.82May 11, 08:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?$279.66May 11, 08:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?$253.68May 11, 08:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 10, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?$280.04May 9, 03:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?$254.05May 9, 03:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$219.32May 9, 03:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$311.87May 9, 03:38 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 9, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 8, 00:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 17
- Avg trade size
- $203.69
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 11, 00:13 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 15:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".