Ajar-Safety
0x542120de39859e9931daaff30967fd37e7e5449c
Wallet digest
Activity score
89/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
30
Open notional
$1.2K
Total PnL
$-20.60
Realised
$-8.11
Win rate
56%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 30- YES
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
500 shares @ 70.0¢·now 76.5¢·exp Sep 13, 2026$382.26
$32.27
- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
150 shares @ 84.3¢·now 82.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$123.75
$-2.75
- NO
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
100 shares @ 91.0¢·now 96.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$96.00
$5.02
- YES
Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?
100 shares @ 87.4¢·now 91.5¢·exp Sep 13, 2026$91.50
$4.09
- YES
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
120 shares @ 73.0¢·now 66.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$79.80
$-7.80
- YES
Will National Party be part of the next Government of New Zealand?
100 shares @ 30.0¢·now 44.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2026$44.00
$14.00
- YES
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?
200 shares @ 22.0¢·now 20.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$41.00
$-3.00
- NO
Spain snap election called by June 30, 2026?
33 shares @ 77.5¢·now 97.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$32.40
$6.53
- NO
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
50 shares @ 60.0¢·now 57.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$28.75
$-1.25
- NO
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?
50 shares @ 60.0¢·now 55.5¢·exp Sep 6, 2026$27.75
$-2.25
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jun 14, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 13, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 12, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 11, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 10, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$18.82Jun 9, 02:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$16.02Jun 9, 01:06 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 9, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$12.42Jun 8, 22:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$15.32Jun 8, 09:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$18.58Jun 8, 09:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$24.29Jun 8, 08:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$10.89Jun 8, 07:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$23.22Jun 8, 06:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$21.49Jun 8, 06:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$20.44Jun 8, 06:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$7.28Jun 8, 05:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$21.60Jun 8, 05:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$36.40Jun 8, 04:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$9.10Jun 8, 04:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $28.89
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 30, 00:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.