Ill-Informed-Heirloom
0x548ac26db4248c944b5c217e0466c4c12f17f9a5
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$55.06
Total PnL
$-67.91
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Will "Mercy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 14m?
14 shares @ 64.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$14.00
$5.04
- NO
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
16 shares @ 72.5¢·now 86.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$13.84
$2.24
- NO
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
11 shares @ 87.0¢·now 93.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.32
$0.75
- YES
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Second Weekend Box Office be between 62m and 67m?
9 shares @ 96.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 28, 2025$9.00
$0.36
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?
39 shares @ 59.7¢·now 13.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$5.26
$-18.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?
12 shares @ 48.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.38
$-4.38
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026?
10 shares @ 11.0¢·now 9.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.90
$-0.20
- YES
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?
100 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.35
$-14.65
- YES
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by March 31, 2026?
200 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-26.00
- YES
Will "Mercy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 14m?
15 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$0.00
$-3.60
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026?$1.10Mar 31, 05:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$9.57Jan 27, 06:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?$5.76Jan 27, 00:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?$5.84Jan 26, 22:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Mercy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 14m?$3.60Jan 26, 15:28 UTC
- REDEEMLighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$5.00Jan 26, 14:13 UTC
- REDEEMLighter FDV above $5B one day after launch?$5.00Jan 26, 14:13 UTC
- REDEEMLighter FDV above $3B one day after launch?$9.00Jan 26, 14:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Government shutdown end by November 15?$10.00Jan 26, 14:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Mercy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 14m?$8.96Jan 25, 15:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?$7.67Jan 21, 01:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?$7.80Jan 11, 02:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?$7.80Jan 11, 02:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?$5.76Dec 31, 18:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYLighter FDV above $5B one day after launch?$4.84Dec 30, 08:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYLighter FDV above $3B one day after launch?$5.67Dec 30, 08:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Second Weekend Box Office be between 62m and 67m?$0.16Dec 29, 11:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Second Weekend Box Office be between 62m and 67m?$4.80Dec 29, 11:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Second Weekend Box Office be between 62m and 67m?$3.68Dec 29, 10:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?$11.21Dec 14, 16:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $10.45
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 11, 08:32 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 31, 05:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".