Authorized-Utilization
0x54c581a308343c28cf741093c5911070e1d1a121
Wallet digest
Activity score
93/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$688.07
Total PnL
$57.77
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- YES
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
737 shares @ 22.5¢·now 26.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$195.29
$29.53
- YES
Will Chuck Schumer be the next Senate Majority Leader?
357 shares @ 30.8¢·now 23.5¢·exp Jan 3, 2027$83.85
$-26.04
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
89 shares @ 51.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$79.53
$34.20
- YES
Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
256 shares @ 33.2¢·now 29.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$75.54
$-9.46
- NO
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?
167 shares @ 43.9¢·now 43.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$72.61
$-0.59
- YES
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
729 shares @ 6.1¢·now 7.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$54.69
$9.91
- NO
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?
58 shares @ 52.0¢·now 74.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$42.96
$12.96
- NO
António Guterres out by December 31?
17 shares @ 59.0¢·now 78.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$13.22
$3.22
- NO
Will Pakistan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?
15 shares @ 68.0¢·now 79.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$11.70
$1.70
- NO
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
12 shares @ 83.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$9.94
$-0.06
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Abdel Fattah el-Sisi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?$10.00Jun 13, 14:20 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 13, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 12, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 11, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 10, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 9, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 8, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 7, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?$15.49Jun 6, 06:44 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 6, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 5, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 4, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 3, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 2, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 1, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 31, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?$1.06May 30, 21:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?$4.20May 30, 21:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chuck Schumer be the next Senate Majority Leader?$2.58May 30, 21:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYMiguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?$2.50May 30, 21:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 19
- Avg trade size
- $9.38
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 00:51 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 14:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.