Crazy-Exhibit
0x54f0bb7d86956a487fac10c50e2f89ec20d28a13
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
75
Open notional
$125.96
Total PnL
$-1.1K
Realised
$32.64
Win rate
40%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 75- YES
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
208 shares @ 24.0¢·now 21.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$44.79
$-5.21
- YES
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
470 shares @ 1.1¢·now 5.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$23.94
$18.94
- YES
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?
250 shares @ 20.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$21.25
$-28.75
- YES
Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in June 2026?
141 shares @ 28.4¢·now 13.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$18.98
$-21.02
- YES
Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in June 2026?
200 shares @ 15.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$17.00
$-13.00
- NO
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?
13526 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-230.48
- YES
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from February 2 to February 4, 2026?
2986 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$0.00
$-23.00
- YES
US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?
2103 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$0.00
$-22.00
- NO
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
1970 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.97
- NO
US forces in Venezuela by January 31, 2026?
1667 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in June 2026?$30.00May 30, 16:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in June 2026?$40.00May 30, 16:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYMiguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?$50.00May 22, 16:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?$50.00May 22, 16:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Frenchie die in "The Boys: Season 5"?$10.49May 19, 14:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill The Deep die in "The Boys: Season 5"?$10.40May 19, 14:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?$10.39May 19, 14:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sister Sage die in "The Boys: Season 5"?$20.85May 19, 14:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Frenchie die in "The Boys: Season 5"?$2.10May 19, 14:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?$5.20May 19, 14:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$10.00May 15, 09:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Putin visit China by May 31?$10.00May 15, 09:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Putin visit China by May 31?$10.00May 15, 09:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?$151.52May 14, 05:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump visit China on May 12, 2026?$5.00May 12, 14:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump visit China on May 14, 2026?$10.00May 12, 14:33 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$477.84May 9, 11:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?$2.00May 5, 17:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump visit China on May 15, 2026?$10.00May 5, 05:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$10.00May 4, 19:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $29.73
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 24, 05:12 UTC
- Last active
- May 30, 16:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".