Adventurous-Cape
0x5522e4ec5b8ae364242176acab740bb85d2b7695
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
174
Open notional
$52.37
Total PnL
$-4.8K
Realised
$0.29
Win rate
50%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 174- NO
Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch?
60 shares @ 83.5¢·now 62.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$37.10
$-12.90
- NO
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?
150 shares @ 49.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$14.25
$-59.25
- YES
2026 Balance of Power: Other
176 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$0.97
$-0.03
- YES
Will Solana reach $400 by December 31, 2026?
2 shares @ 0.6¢·now 2.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.05
$0.04
- HAWKS
Hawks vs. Heat
1407 shares @ 41.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-584.62
- NO
Will Levante UD win on 2026-04-13?
1093 shares @ 34.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-372.44
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C on May 3?
1075 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: Both Teams to Score
1001 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$0.00
$-380.39
- NO
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-04-12?
664 shares @ 47.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-318.20
- NO
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-04-13?
650 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-253.50
Recent activity
- REWARD$1.82Jul 31, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on July 30?$9.74Jul 30, 13:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on July 30?$9.67Jul 30, 13:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on July 30?$14.40Jul 30, 13:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on July 30?$19.20Jul 30, 13:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on July 30?$28.80Jul 30, 13:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on July 30?$38.40Jul 30, 13:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on July 30?$97.65Jul 30, 13:36 UTC
- REWARD$2.90Jul 19, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Despacito be the first song performed by Justin Bieber at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final Halftime Show?$43.44Jul 18, 14:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Despacito be the first song performed by Justin Bieber at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final Halftime Show?$4.38Jul 18, 04:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Despacito be the first song performed by Justin Bieber at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final Halftime Show?$3.65Jul 18, 04:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Despacito be the first song performed by Justin Bieber at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final Halftime Show?$7.30Jul 18, 04:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Despacito be the first song performed by Justin Bieber at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final Halftime Show?$16.59Jul 18, 04:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Despacito be the first song performed by Justin Bieber at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final Halftime Show?$18.69Jul 18, 04:37 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$10.00Jul 9, 21:42 UTC
- REDEEMUnited States vs. Belgium: O/U 9.5 Total Corners$22.45Jul 7, 02:15 UTC
- REDEEMUnited States to score first vs. Belgium?$21.57Jul 7, 02:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill United States vs. Belgium end in a draw?$20.83Jul 7, 02:11 UTC
- REDEEMUnited States leading at halftime?$20.71Jul 7, 02:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
19/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
50% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
31 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 68/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $17.40
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 1, 04:26 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 31, 00:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.