Known-Annual
0x553e3aa052b9015d5d932d2c33ffc7e3a757df91
Wallet digest
Activity score
41/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
12
Open notional
$12.53
Total PnL
$-46.77
Realised
$-20.03
Win rate
0%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Chirayu Rana divorced?
2743 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$12.34
$1.88
- YES
Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
247 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.12
$-0.37
- YES
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
5 shares @ 1.5¢·now 1.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.06
$-0.01
- NO
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?
2027 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-2.43
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?
1458 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-2.50
- YES
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
1261 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-5.09
- YES
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?
1250 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-2.08
- YES
Will 0 world records be broken at the 2026 Enhanced Games?
1175 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.18
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2AM ET
295 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.00
$-6.97
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2AM ET$0.10Jun 23, 06:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2AM ET$0.07Jun 23, 06:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2AM ET$0.02Jun 23, 06:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2AM ET$0.02Jun 23, 06:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2AM ET$0.02Jun 23, 06:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2AM ET$0.05Jun 23, 06:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2AM ET$0.71Jun 23, 06:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2AM ET$0.06Jun 23, 06:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2AM ET$0.98Jun 23, 06:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2AM ET$5.34Jun 23, 06:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET$5.31Jun 23, 06:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET$2.14Jun 23, 06:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: REKONIX vs Grind Back (BO3) - The International Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffs$1.03Jun 23, 06:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 12?$0.00Jun 23, 01:56 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET$0.00Jun 23, 01:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Iraq win on 2026-06-22?$0.00Jun 23, 01:55 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Iraq (-3.5)$0.00Jun 23, 01:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET$8.01Jun 22, 20:51 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET$0.00Jun 22, 20:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Iraq (-3.5)$1.03Jun 22, 20:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
12/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
38 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 71/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $4.52
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 11, 17:45 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 23, 06:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.