CultureExpires Jun 30, 2026
Creator

Chirayu Rana divorced?

Probability

13¢

1h

+1.0pp

24h

+0.0pp

24h Vol

$9.8K

Liquidity

$15.2K

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
Jun 30, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Primary
Statements from Chirayu Rana
Type
Public-figure statement
Confidence
extracted · medium
Market type
Binary
  • No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
May 1, 2026, 04:00May 1, 2026, 15:04
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 2 factors
  • 01
    Active signal

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Resolution source is ambiguous or relies on public-figure statements — verify before treating price as the market view.

  • 02
    Liquidity

    Thin liquidity

    Only $15.2k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 1424.9h

    LOW
  • 15:04Signal

    Resolution risk

    Resolution source is ambiguous or relies on public-figure statements — verify before treating price as the market view.

    LOW

Price movement

+0.0pp over the last 24h, now 13¢.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Chirayu Rana and/or his spouse announce their intention to divorce by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the specified date of their intention to divorce will be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the divorce later actually occurs, or whether the divorce occurs outside of the timeframe of this market. The resolution source will be statements from Chirayu Rana and/or his spouse, and their representatives; however, a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may also be considered.

Alerts

¢
Deliver

In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.