Insidious-Drum
0x558375e97ab6d8feaabf2cfd00d4d2b85f0c1c84
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$10.07
Total PnL
$-17.76
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
2 shares @ 78.0¢·now 76.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.75
$-0.03
- NO
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
2 shares @ 91.0¢·now 93.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.71
$0.04
- NO
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?
2 shares @ 87.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.69
$-0.09
- NO
Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31?
2 shares @ 87.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.68
$0.10
- NO
Will October be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?
2 shares @ 86.0¢·now 80.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.65
$-0.11
- YES
Will Banksy create a new mural or street artwork by December 31?
2 shares @ 88.1¢·now 84.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.60
$-0.08
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on March 11?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Trump lower tariffs on Mexico by December 31?
4 shares @ 89.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-3.36
- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in June?
3 shares @ 64.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.79
- GRIZZLIES
Grizzlies vs. Celtics
3 shares @ 67.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 18, 2025$0.00
$-1.86
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Verizon Communications (VZ) beat quarterly earnings?$1.76Jul 24, 13:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Verizon Communications (VZ) beat quarterly earnings?$1.59Jul 24, 10:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$1.78Jul 17, 06:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?$1.78Jul 10, 11:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana reach $85 on July 2?$1.76Jul 3, 04:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $85 on July 2?$1.59Jul 2, 14:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,500 in June?$1.84Jun 25, 15:20 UTC
- REDEEMStarmer out by December 31, 2026?$1.80Jun 22, 10:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Banksy create a new mural or street artwork by December 31?$1.69Jun 18, 13:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by December 31, 2026?$1.49Jun 12, 12:06 UTC
- REDEEMSan Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Phillies$1.75Jun 12, 12:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYSan Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Phillies$1.59Jun 4, 18:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Encore Medical’s market cap be less than $45M at market close on IPO day?$1.74Jun 4, 18:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the median home value in Miami be between $1,136,000 and $1,161,000 on May 31?$1.90Jun 4, 18:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the South African Reserve Bank increase the repo rate after the May meeting?$2.01Jun 4, 18:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the median home value in Miami be between $1,136,000 and $1,161,000 on May 31?$1.70May 28, 15:47 UTC
- REDEEMSolstice FDV above $50M one day after launch?$1.63May 28, 15:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Reserve Bank of New Zealand make no change to the official cash rate after the May decision?$2.01May 28, 15:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the South African Reserve Bank increase the repo rate after the May meeting?$1.83May 21, 14:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Reserve Bank of New Zealand make no change to the official cash rate after the May decision?$1.74May 14, 16:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
30 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 63/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $236.94
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 10, 18:44 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 24, 13:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.