Fluid-Message
0x55cdbf5e39caa0c7aeba53e6c9a61c9da5878fc1
Wallet digest
Activity score
89/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$570.74
Total PnL
$8.52
Realised
$-4.02
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
285 shares @ 90.5¢·now 93.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$267.49
$9.49
- NO
JD Vance out as VP by December 31?
200 shares @ 90.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$183.00
$3.00
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
59 shares @ 85.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$49.71
$-0.29
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on June 16?
20 shares @ 61.0¢·now 59.5¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$11.90
$-0.30
- NO
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
12 shares @ 85.5¢·now 97.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$11.34
$1.34
- YES
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?
13 shares @ 78.0¢·now 75.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2027$9.68
$-0.32
- YES
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
19 shares @ 32.4¢·now 33.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$6.16
$0.16
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
9 shares @ 67.0¢·now 68.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.13
$0.13
- UP
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 15?
5 shares @ 94.0¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$5.31
$0.31
- NO
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June?
5 shares @ 92.3¢·now 97.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.29
$0.29
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on June 16?$12.20Jun 15, 15:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 15?$5.01Jun 15, 10:25 UTC
- REDEEMLoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI$0.00Jun 15, 10:22 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 15, 00:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Germany win on 2026-06-14?$5.32Jun 14, 21:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Scotland win on 2026-06-13?$16.13Jun 14, 05:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?$10.09Jun 14, 01:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI$5.04Jun 14, 00:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Scotland win on 2026-06-13?$10.11Jun 14, 00:45 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET$0.00Jun 14, 00:43 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$8.82Jun 14, 00:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win on 2026-06-14?$5.01Jun 14, 00:33 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 14, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$6.08Jun 13, 06:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$1.00Jun 13, 06:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$5.00Jun 13, 06:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$1.27Jun 13, 00:35 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 13, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$9.03Jun 12, 14:38 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET$1.88Jun 12, 14:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 21
- Avg trade size
- $6.21
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 12, 14:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 15, 15:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.