Loyal-Sir
0x55fb1df98ddf8da410df79bae8224eb4b8e1af5c
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
71
Open notional
$1.09
Total PnL
$-201.90
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 71- NO
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?
1 shares @ 89.0¢·now 97.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.09
$0.09
- YES
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
143 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Trump visit China by May 15?
118 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- GLYPH
Dota 2: GLYPH vs Team Liquid (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?
33 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?
29 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?
24 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?
24 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?
22 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?
21 shares @ 23.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$6.33Jul 20, 01:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win on 2026-07-19?$10.29Jul 16, 06:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Spain win on 2026-07-14?$17.24Jul 14, 21:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win on 2026-07-15?$5.15Jul 12, 17:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win on 2026-07-14?$5.18Jul 12, 04:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win on 2026-07-11?$5.19Jul 11, 04:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Spain win on 2026-07-10?$8.20Jul 10, 21:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill France win on 2026-07-09?$8.06Jul 9, 22:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-07-11?$5.06Jul 9, 14:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win on 2026-07-11?$5.07Jul 9, 14:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-07-09?$5.06Jul 8, 15:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Argentina win on 2026-07-07?$6.94Jul 7, 18:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win on 2026-07-10?$5.06Jul 7, 14:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Switzerland win on 2026-07-07?$5.11Jul 7, 14:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Colombia win on 2026-07-07?$5.09Jul 7, 14:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Spain win on 2026-07-06?$9.62Jul 6, 21:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win on 2026-07-06?$5.12Jul 6, 17:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco win on 2026-07-09?$5.13Jul 6, 10:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico win on 2026-07-05?$2.04Jul 5, 06:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win on 2026-07-06?$5.07Jul 5, 06:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
33 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 71/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $4.59
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 29, 04:22 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 20, 01:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.