Every-Variety
0x560ec24847764d4a1ce8d61d57bc99ad483985f5
Wallet digest
Activity score
52/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
50
Open notional
$0.76
Total PnL
$-181.10
Realised
$-0.09
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 50- NO
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
5 shares @ 20.0¢·now 14.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$0.72
$-0.28
- YES
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?
46 shares @ 11.5¢·now 0.1¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$0.02
$-5.28
- YES
Will OpenAI IPO by July 31 2026?
20 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.01
$-0.31
- NO
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?
400 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.20
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
328 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-4.93
- YES
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?
251 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by June 30?
167 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill MGM Resorts be acquired before 2027?$0.87Jul 2, 08:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump pardon Elon Musk before 2027?$1.00Jul 2, 08:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Papertrade launch a token by June 30, 2027?$4.37Jul 2, 08:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.6% and 4.9%?$5.11Jul 2, 08:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?$5.19Jul 2, 08:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$1.92Jul 2, 08:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?$1.01Jun 30, 03:17 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$1.02Jun 30, 03:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Waymo launch in Denver by June 30 2026?$1.01Jun 30, 03:17 UTC
- TRADESELLEx-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30?$1.02Jun 30, 03:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $480 in June?$1.01Jun 30, 03:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump publicly insult J.D. Vance by June 30, 2026?$1.02Jun 30, 03:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.01Jun 30, 03:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $700 in June?$1.04Jun 30, 03:17 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?$1.05Jun 30, 03:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Benjamin Netanyahu sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?$1.02Jun 30, 03:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump speak to Reza Pahlavi in June?$1.06Jun 30, 03:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,000 in June?$1.07Jun 30, 03:17 UTC
- TRADESELLNew pandemic in 2026?$1.01Jun 30, 03:17 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$1.17Jun 30, 03:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 69/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $2.93
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 22, 01:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 2, 08:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.