0x5615f49314f2a9212e1fbf3506435b9166e26341
0x5615f49314f2a9212e1fbf3506435b9166e26341
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$14.58
Total PnL
$-20.15
Realised
$-0.02
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?
9 shares @ 39.5¢·now 49.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$4.52
$0.92
- NO
Trump out as President before GTA VI?
7 shares @ 49.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$3.64
$0.04
- YES
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?
7 shares @ 52.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$3.50
$-0.10
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on March 18?
2 shares @ 87.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$2.41
$0.31
- YES
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?
4 shares @ 48.0¢·now 11.8¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.52
$-1.59
- YES
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?
5000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by March 31, 2026?
483 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-0.97
- YES
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by March 31?
170 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-0.34
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 0°C on March 18?
54 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-2.10
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on March 19?
35 shares @ 5.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2026$0.00
$-2.10
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?$4.74Apr 1, 04:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by March 31, 2026?$0.94Apr 1, 01:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by March 31?$0.10Mar 31, 23:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by March 31?$0.24Mar 31, 23:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?$0.06Mar 31, 15:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?$0.20Mar 31, 12:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?$0.02Mar 31, 12:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?$0.88Mar 31, 12:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?$1.92Mar 31, 12:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?$0.66Mar 31, 11:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?$1.52Mar 31, 10:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by March 31, 2026?$0.02Mar 31, 05:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Italy qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.07Mar 26, 19:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$2.34Mar 26, 19:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Inter win the 2025–26 Serie A league?$3.73Mar 26, 19:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$5.13Mar 26, 19:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 15°C on March 19?$2.10Mar 19, 00:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 0°C on March 18?$2.10Mar 19, 00:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$2.10Mar 19, 00:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30? $2.10Mar 19, 00:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $1.73
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 18, 15:11 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 1, 04:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".